The past few weeks have felt like cold fronts are simply teasing us, and we know the question on your mind, Fort Worthians — will it stay cold this time? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know which winter weather trends to expect in our city for January, February, and March.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: Winter this year officially runs from Sunday, Dec. 21, to Friday, March 20.

La Niña is in place heading into this upcoming winter, bringing warm tropical temps. | Map courtesy of NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

The La Niña climate pattern is in place heading into winter — which is the main driver in the long-range winter forecast released by the Climate Prediction Center.

In North Texas, above-normal temperatures are in the forecast. Despite historic snow and ice events in years past, our extreme winter weather events like frozen precipitation, are not likely to occur in Texas. During winter, average temperatures will stay above freezing, with highs in the upper 50s and lows in the upper 30s.

It's not looking like Fort Worth will see a White Christmas this year. | Image courtesy of NOAA

🌨️ Precipitation

Winter precipitation under La Niña predicts Fort Worth has equal chances of having above or below average weather conditions through March 2026. The Farmers’ Almanac predicted that Texans will experience a wetter-than-average winter, with periodic cold snaps. Due to the expected forecast, there's likely to be no drought conditions.

Cowtown may have been chilly this month, but our brains are warmed up for this challenge. | Photo by @jrh79_

December data

This month is already proving to be much warmer on average across the US. North Texas is no exception, with highs predicted to be in the low-70s for Christmas week. For reference, 2021 was the hottest December on record for DFW, when the average temperature was 73°. love US comparison

Jump into January

In January, the average high and low temperatures range from ~36° + ~58°, the coldest month of the year. Kick the new year off by strolling around the museums with a cup of coffee. love this pluh

February’s forecast

Historically, average highs in February increase a few degrees to 39°, with an average high of 62°.i would try to find a plug here too, bc you do in the one above and below. not necessary, but would be a nice touch

March meteorology

Typically in Fort Worth, March temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 49° and an average high of 70°, but expect to see more of those near-60° days this year. Pro tip: We'll spring forward on Sunday, March 8, 2026 — which means sunsets will occur one hour later. Make sure to bookmark our parks guide in advance.love this too!