We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cold?

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: The first day of winter is on Saturday, Dec. 21.

Here's what you can expect this winter. | Graphic via NOAA

Temperature

Think warm. This winter, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

Precipitation

Our city is predicted to experience ordinary snow and rainfall amounts this season.

Drought

Drought conditions are expected to dissipate.

December's deal

Typically in Nashville, December’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 35.6° and an average high of 48.9°, but expect to see those temperatures leaning on the higher side this season. Fun fact: It's also the most humid month at 78%.

Jump into January

Bust out the ear muffs and bundle up in January. This month's notably consistent high speed wind of 7.9 mph contributes to the chill factor. You'll see an average high of 44.1° and low of 30.6°, making it the coldest month historically.

It’s also the month with the most snowfall (~4.7 days), so if you've been putting off those new tires, now might be the time.

February's forecast

January and February hold similar forecasts, with both months averaging the least amount of sunshine in the calendar year. Average highs usually hit 49.5° with lows dipping to 34.7°. The good news? The chill will check out as spring begins sprouting by March.