We know the question on your mind, Greenvillians — when’s it going to get cool? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.

Reminder: The first day of fall is on Saturday, Sept. 23.

Fall is coming *weather* you like it or not. | Map via NOAA

Temperature

Think warm. This fall, Greenville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Greenville has a 40-50% chance of seeing higher than average rainfall amounts this fall.

September

Typically in Greenville, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 64° and an average high of 82°, but expect to see more of those near-80° days this year. If you aren’t a fan of the heat, we have some good news: The average high will drop ~7° in September. Pro tip: September has an average daily maximum UV index of 5, so don’t slack on the sunscreen.

October

In October, the average high and low temps are between 73° + 53°. Historically, October is one of the driest months of the year, so plan for warm, clear days, perfect for World Finance Moonlight Movies in Falls Park on Thursday nights. Did you know? On average, there’s only 3.1 inches of precipitation during the spooky season.

November

Historically, average highs in November drop ~10° to 63°, with an average low of 43°. As you break out your flannels, it’s the perfect time to peep some fall foliage around the city. It’s also one of the first months where we’ll feel the lower humidity, and we’re already sighing with relief.